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 标    题: 新冠疫情从封控到常态期间的公众政策态度——基于新浪微博数据的研究(2023 第2卷 第3期 7)
作       者:

杜洪涛 王婷

文章栏目:

数字经济与管理

摘       要:

COVID-19造成了全球范围内的公共卫生危机,对世界各地范围内的经济和生活产生了重大影响。本文选择中国推进从封控到常态的政策变革的时间范围,分析该时段内中国最大的社交媒体——新浪微博上用户集中讨论的话题内容及主要表达的情绪类别。本文利用主题建模方法潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)识别用户发文主要围绕的主题,并计算不同主题的比例分布,分析用户发文主要表达的情感类型。根据收集到的91239条符合条件的微博发帖内容,共确定了17个主题,并对其进行分析。结果显示:在中国变革其坚持三年的“清零”政策的期间,公众首先表达了较为强烈的对未来的期望,且围绕着变革的政策本身展开讨论与交流;公众讨论所表达的情绪整体倾向积极。社交媒体为政府与公众搭建了较好的沟通桥梁,公众可以通过社交媒体获取信息展开讨论,政府也可以通过社交媒体及时了解公众的关注与要求,在推进政策实施的过程中及时回应公众关注的相关问题,为推进政策顺利实施提供一定保障。

关  键  词:

COVID-19;社交媒体;政策变革;公众意见

Abstract:

COVID-19 has caused a global public health crisis, which has had a significant impact on the economy and daily life worldwide. This paper focuses on the period during which China implemented policy changes from lockdown to normalization, and analyzes the topics and predominant emotions expressed by users on China's largest social media platform, Sina Weibo. After preprocessing the raw data, the latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) topic modeling method was used to identify the main topics that users focused on in their posts. In addition, we calculated the proportion of different topics and analyzed the predominant emotional expressions conveyed by users in their posts. The study has three principal findings. Firstly, based on 91,239 collected Weibo posts in line with the criteria, we identified 17 topics and classified them into four topic categories: “Medical Resources, Infection, and Prevention”, “Changes in Epidemic Policies”, “Effects of Lifting COVID-19 Restrictions”, and “Policy Discussions and Individual Attitudes”. Secondly, among the 17 topics, “Personal Expectations”, “Policy Changes”, “Policy Discussions”, and “Virus Situation” had relatively high proportions. Thirdly, the emotions of “anticipation” and “trust” had a higher proportion, while the emotion of “fear” ranked behind them in terms of proportion. During the period when China was changing its three-year “zero infection”, the public expressed a strong expectation for the future, and they engaged in discussions and exchanges centered around the policy reform itself. Overall, the emotions expressed by the public were positive. Social media has provided a good communication bridge between the government and the public. The public can obtain information and engage in discussions through social media, while the government can timely understand the public's concerns and requirements, and respond to relevant issues of public concern during the process of policy implementation, providing a certain guarantee for the smooth implementation of policies.

Keywords:

COVID-19; Social Media; Policy Reform; Public Opinion

作者简介:

杜洪涛,国家工业信息安全发展研究中心系统所,副研究员,Email:du14 @tsinghua.org.cn;

王婷,华中科技大学公共管理学院硕士研究生,Email: 2169217016@qq.com。

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